IT: The Next Ten Years - preventable deaths to fall, IT specialists must change their spots, internet and cellular telephony to take over

According to a report from Gartner there will be a 50% growth in IT investment in the healthcare sector between now and 2013, and this could enable clinicians to reduce the level of preventable deaths by 50 percent by 2013.

Wes Rishel, managing vice president at Gartner, a leading research company said, “The earliest adoption of IT — and realization of improved safety and cost containment — will occur in markets where the ultimate payers exercise leadership to stimulate simultaneous adoption of IT, consensus quality measurements, transparent reporting and aligned financial incentives. The largest IT challenge in most countries will be deploying IT to the numerous small practices that provide most primary care.”

Gartner also identified five other IT related trends, which will have a significant impact on both individuals and business.

IT specialists will find their expertise becoming less valuable, with the emergence of IT “versatilists,” people whose multidisciplinary assignments, roles and experiences create a valuable blend of synthesized knowledge, competencies and context to fuel business value. Gartner says that the market for IT specialists will fall by 40%, and the best bet for the IT guys will be to ensure they “focus on a rapid and intentional expansion from technical specialization to business competence.”

Other major trends identified include the further shift away from traditional telecommunications, so that by 2010, 30 percent of U.S. homes will use only cellular or Internet telephony.

Gartner also predicts that by 2008, thanks the emergence of more consumer related applications, employees will be expected to provide their own notebook computers. Wthin three years 10% percent of companies will require employee-purchased notebooks, and we will see the emergence of notebook allowances, a lot like car the car allowances many of us our familiar with today.

Other trends identified include growing competition to the insurance industry from Business Process Outsourcing. Gartner reckons that by 2008 the companies our insurers and banks outsource to, will be able to launch their own services. Gartner says, “Intellectual capital is migrating from insurers to BPO providers, enabling the providers to become competitors.”

Finally, Gartner says that regulatory compliance costs are eating up IT budgets. It said, “regulatory compliance spending is growing at a rate twice that of IT spending, and in many case, discretionary IT budgets are entirely consumed by compliance efforts, stifling initiatives that are important to business growth. “

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