Barbarians politely ring the doorbell at the gate

Well, the Barbarians are becoming all soft and cuddly.

You may recall, before the credit crunch, private equity dominated the business pages of the press. Seen by some as asset strippers, by others as the saviour of traditional Western business, correcting bad business practice; private equity was controversial all right.

Then the credit crunch bit, and we were more interested in slagging off the banks, and the City. Private equity was all but forgotten.

But now it’s back. Kohlberg Kravis Roberts, the most famous, or perhaps most infamous, private equity of the lot is planning to float. Like the banks, it wants to be able to take care of itself through the forthcoming tornado that is set to blow over the markets.

Unlike the banks, it is not looking to do this as a defence manoeuvre, but rather because it sees opportunity.

Kohlberg Kravis Roberts first leapt to fame over the battle to control RJR Nabisco, and thanks to a book by Bryan Burrough and John Helyar became known as the Barbarian at the Gate.

Of course, the City wasn’t that keen on private equity. Last year were told private equity was too secretive. That it put short-term needs before the long-term. Then the credit crunch came along and all of a sudden it was the City who were the arch villains of the piece, the banks who couldn’t be trusted and put short-term needs before the long-term.

KKR is not actually looking to raise money as such via the flotation, but wants the luxury of being a listed company so that it can reward staff with shares, and use its shares when buying companies.

It is always the way. When the Visigoth invader Alaric camped his army outside Rome he too was seen as a barbarian at the gate. Yet, within a few years, his people were seen as pillars of the Roman world – albeit a Roman world that was collapsing.

In times like these, company valuations fall rapidly. This has created a huge buying opportunity.

The KKR move shows just how switched on it is to this development. Although, one assumes the asset value of KKR will also suffer from the downturn. It is a little surprising that it doesn’t attempt to raise hard cash while it is at it, and use this resultant war chest over the next year or so, a time when we are sure there will be bargains a-plenty.

PS: The word barbarian comes from the Ancient Greek and means the sound of sheep – that is, ba ba. It wasn’t that the Greeks thought that barbarians were somehow, well, barbaric, just that their language seemed incomprehensible.

These days, of course, we say: “It’s Greek to me.” It just goes to show things change. In the same way, yesterday’s barbarians become tomorrow’s heroes. Banks go from being respected pillars of society to greedy authors of the credit crunch. Private equity … , well, you finish the sentence.

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Carlyle crash: blame Fed’s action?

And another one bites the dust.  Well not quite, but it seems  Carlyle Capital Corporation, which is a part of private equity firm Carlyle Group, is hanging on by its fingernails.

Clever old Carlyle, it realised subprime mortgages were an accident waiting to happen, so it bought prime mortgage debt.    It’s cleverness backfired, because even this debt lost value.

But, bizarrely, some blamed the Fed and its decision to pump $200bn into the financial system by swapping triple-A rated mortgage security for US Treasury Bills.  It worked like this,  the Fed has agreed to take mortgage debt off the banks, and give it treasury bills, which the banks can then borrow against on the open market.

The trouble is, banks can do that, hedge funds can’t – so the banks concluded they would be better off without  Carlyle Capital Corporation, and much better off with Carlyle’s mortgage debt, which they could swap.

But then again, this does smack somewhat of an excuse.

As Capital Economics said last night, “There is no way of knowing whether Carlyle would have folded anyway, as had looked increasingly likely for some time. Plenty of other funds had run into trouble well before the Fed initiative came along. What’s more, at least creditors do not have to dump the mortgage securities onto the open market, but can lend them to the Fed instead. This is surely a good thing.”

Maybe the Fed move accelerated the end of Carlyle Capital Corporation, but it seems unlikely it caused the end.

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