The dramatic cut in base rate to 3 per cent may spell good news for homeowners with mortgages, but for savers it could be a disaster.
For every mortgage, there are six to seven savers, and many pensioners and others on fixed incomes are dependent on the interest from their savings to top up their income.
So where can you put your money and get a decent rate of return, if banks and building societies cut savings rates by up to 1.5 per cent?
Some experts are touting gilts as the saviour of savers. Gilts are bonds issued by the Government which pay a fixed rate of interest over a set term and are considered to be safer than corporate bonds which are bonds issued by companies wanting to raise capital.
Because companies can go bust and default on their financial obligations, corporate bonds are considered more risky than gilts which are guaranteed by the Government.
Gilt managers are prediciting a return on 7 to 10 year gilts of around 4-8 per cent over the next two years. Ccompared with likely returns from banks and building societies of 3-4 per cent, gilts looks like a reasonable alternative.
But gilts are not risk free. Although you are guaranteed to get back your original investment back when your gilts mature, prices and yields can vary significantly before the maturity date, depending on what happens to base rate and inflation.
So if you paid £100 today for a 10-year gilt with a 4 per cent yield, its face value could subsequently fall if base rate were to rise in two years’ time.
This would cause investors to flee gilts in seach of higher returns elsewhere, thereby drving down the face value of gilts. If you wanted to sell your gilt at that time, its sale value might be only £90, instead of £100.
Inflation is another enemy of gilts as it erodes the value of fixed incomes. Although inflation now appears to be falling, it could re-emerge in future years, particularly with the increase in Government spending.
But if inflation and base rate fall to around 1 per cent, or even zero, as some commentators are now predicting, gilts could offer double digit returns.
You can buy individual gilts via a stockbroker, or a gilt fund or gilt index tracker via a fund manager. For advice on gilts, contact an independent financial adviser via www.unbiased.co.uk
For more on gilts, visit the Debt Management Office’s website:
http://dmo.gov.uk/index.aspx?page=Gilts/About_Gilts
http://dmo.gov.uk/index.aspx?page=Gilts/Daily_Prices
For the best savings rates visit:
http://www.defaqto.com/consumer/savings-accounts/instant-access-accounts.aspx
http://www.defaqto.com/consumer/savings-accounts/cash-isas.aspx
http://www.defaqto.com/consumer/savings-accounts/regular-savings-accounts.aspx
http://www.defaqto.com/consumer/savings-accounts/term-accounts.aspx
http://www.defaqto.com/consumer/savings-accounts/notice-savings-accounts.aspx





